The chances for a chase this week appear to be dropping. Wednesday's setup looks to be capped badly with 850mb Temperatures reaching 15-20 degrees celcius at 0z. This would pretty much eleminate any chances of convection before dark.
Thursday's setup seems pretty well capped as well, plus the fact that the main energy is pushing into an area of SE Oklahoma which is terrible chase terrain with all of its rolling hills and rocks.
So all in all, I have decreased my chase chances for both days to
20%
NOT LIKELY
There is still time for this to change for the better, but as of now, I will be holding off my first chase of the 2008 season for a better oppurtunity down the road.
Monday, March 24, 2008
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