Wednesday, April 23, 2008

Still a go for Possible Tornadoes in Texas Today

Sitting in AMA this morning, and am planning to head down to Lubbock in about an hour. I will get some data there and with a decent road network, I will make a decison from there. The latest RUC does show some oppurtunity last this afternoon and evening in the corridor that Gabe just mentioned.0-3km SRH values are spiking between around 450 or 500 in this area(WOW) and SBCAPE is still forecasted to be around 3500 j/kg. Also, LI's are forecasted to be between -6 and -10. We also should receive backing 850mb winds at around 25-40kts. 500mb winds should be between 35-45kts and streaming in out of the west. Obviously the concerns of early morning convection and subsidence behind this is a concern. Hopefully the picture will begin to become clearer in the next 2-3 hours.

I am still hoping for decent insolation behind this convection and late afternoon initiation around 4:00 pm this afternoon. I will try to get an update out from Lubbock.

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